eprintid: 3978
rev_number: 7
eprint_status: archive
userid: 16
dir: disk0/00/00/39/78
datestamp: 2026-02-05 08:16:18
lastmod: 2026-02-05 08:16:18
status_changed: 2026-02-05 08:16:18
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Frisco Fiandria Saputra, Saputra(2026)
creators_name: Moh. Yusuf Dawud, Dawud
creators_name: Noor Djohar, Djohar
creators_id: friscofiandria9@gmail.com
creators_id: -
creators_id: -
corp_creators: Universitas Bojonegoro
title: Analisis Forecasting Penjualan Komoditas Hortikultura Multimusim Pepaya Di Hortimart Agro Center Semarang
ispublished: pub
subjects: S1
divisions: sch_bio
keywords: Forecasting, Time Series, Hortimart Agro Center
abstract: This study was conducted with the aim to analyze the forecasting sales of horticultural papaya products in the coming period. The ype of data utilized in this study was secondary data related to papaya sales from January to Desember 2023. The data gathered through literature studies, documentation studies and interviews. This study calculating data time series using 4 approaches namely Moving Avarage Method (MAD), Exponential Smoothing Method (MSE),Trend Analysis Metod, and Multicative Decomposition Method (MAPE). The study finds that the forecasting of papaya sales at Hortimart Agro Center by using MAD is 1268 kg, , and by using MSE the score is 1228.204 (α = 0.9). Moreover, the forcasting sales using Trend analysis Method is 1123.697 kg, and the last one is 1092.102 kg using the Multiplicative Decomposition method with a quarterly seasonal pattern (4 months). In addition, based on the fourth calculation of sales forecasting methods it is found that the smallest forecasting accuracy error value is found in the Trend Analysis method, with a MAD value of 124.081, MSE of 22,710.15, and MAPE of 24.7%.
publisher: Jurnal Ilmu Ilmu Agribisnis: Journal of Agribusiness Science
full_text_status: public
publication: Jurnal Ilmu Ilmu Agribisnis: Journal of Agribusiness Science
volume: 12
number: 3
pagerange: 198-206
refereed: TRUE
issn: 2620-4177
citation:   Frisco Fiandria Saputra, Saputra(2026) and Moh. Yusuf Dawud, Dawud and Noor Djohar, Djohar   Analisis Forecasting Penjualan Komoditas Hortikultura Multimusim Pepaya Di Hortimart Agro Center Semarang.  Jurnal Ilmu Ilmu Agribisnis: Journal of Agribusiness Science, 12 (3).  pp. 198-206.  ISSN 2620-4177     
document_url: https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/eprint/3978/1/LIT%202025%20Agustus%20Frisco%20Fiandria%20Saputra%2C%20Moh.%20Yusuf%20Dawud%2C%20Noor%20Djohar.pdf