{ "dir": "disk0/00/00/54/90", "datestamp": "2026-07-27 08:16:47", "corp_creators": [ "Universitas Bojonegoro" ], "note": 22602011053, "date": "2026-06-30", "divisions": [ "ep" ], "rev_number": 19, "creators": [ { "name": { "lineage": null, "honourific": null, "given": "Lestari", "family": "Dina Ayu Lestari" } } ], "thesis_type": "bachelor", "subjects": [ "CD" ], "status_changed": "2026-07-27 08:16:47", "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/eprint/5490", "department": "Ekonomi Pembangunan", "ispublished": "pub", "keywords": "Harga Emas Dunia, Inflasi, Tingkat Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, ARDL", "abstract": "Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh harga emas dunia, inflasi, dan tingkat suku bunga terhadap nilai tukar rupiah di Indonesia pada periode 2011\u20132025, baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif eksplanatif dengan data sekunder berupa data bulanan time series selama 15 tahun yang bersumber dari Bank Indonesia (BI), Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), dan World Gold Council (WGC), yang kemudian dianalisis menggunakan metode Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek, harga emas dunia dan inflasi berpengaruh negatif terhadap nilai tukar rupiah, artinya kenaikan harga emas dunia dan inflasi cenderung diikuti dengan penguatan nilai rupiah, sementara tingkat suku bunga belum terbukti berpengaruh secara nyata. Namun, dalam jangka panjang, ketiga variabel tersebut harga emas dunia, inflasi, maupun tingkat suku bunga tidak lagi menunjukkan pengaruh yang berarti terhadap nilai tukar rupiah, yang mengindikasikan bahwa pergerakan rupiah dalam jangka panjang lebih banyak dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar ketiga variabel ini. Model yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini juga terbukti stabil dan layak digunakan untuk menjelaskan hubungan antarvariabel selama periode pengamatan. Temuan ini diharapkan dapat menjadi referensi bagi pemerintah, otoritas moneter, dan akademisi dalam memahami dinamika nilai tukar rupiah serta faktor-faktor yang memengaruhinya, khususnya dalam membedakan respons kebijakan untuk mengatasi gejolak jangka pendek dan tantangan struktural jangka panjang.", "lastmod": "2026-07-27 08:16:47", "title": "Pengaruh Harga Emas Dunia, Inflasi, dan Tingkat Suku Bunga Terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia Tahun 2011\u20132025 : Pendekatan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)", "type": "thesis", "contributors": [ { "name": { "lineage": null, "honourific": null, "given": "Moehadi", "family": "H. Moehadi" } }, { "name": { "lineage": null, "honourific": null, "given": "Muslinawati", "family": "Hj. Retno Muslinawati" } } ], "metadata_visibility": "show", "userid": 1635, "date_type": "published", "documents": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12940", "security": "staffonly", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 1, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69583", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:02:20", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 1545885, "objectid": 12940, "fileid": 69583, "filename": "ABSTRAK (1).pdf", "hash": "38255bdb06abc8f205e1d603bdeb235b", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 12940, "main": "ABSTRAK (1).pdf", "pos": 1, "eprintid": 5490 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12946", "security": "public", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 2, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69594", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:02:48", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 280053, "objectid": 12946, "fileid": 69594, "filename": "BAB I.pdf", "hash": "73e485576a4d4c27337baaf0c9bee735", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 1, "docid": 12946, "main": "BAB I.pdf", "pos": 2, "eprintid": 5490 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12952", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 3, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69607", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:03:09", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 377902, "objectid": 12952, "fileid": 69607, "filename": "BAB II.pdf", "hash": "61e07e16adf871bee762af7c596ad875", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 12952, "main": "BAB II.pdf", "pos": 3, "eprintid": 5490 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12955", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 4, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69613", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:03:21", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 376992, "objectid": 12955, "fileid": 69613, "filename": "BAB III.pdf", "hash": "216c6e6d2ee973fb73d5dab587033bff", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 12955, "main": "BAB III.pdf", "pos": 4, "eprintid": 5490 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12957", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 5, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69617", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:03:32", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 687964, "objectid": 12957, "fileid": 69617, "filename": "BAB IV.pdf", "hash": "4f41c9e501534733a3f18dfb978268f6", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 12957, "main": "BAB IV.pdf", "pos": 5, "eprintid": 5490 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12958", "security": "public", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 6, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69619", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:03:43", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 281857, "objectid": 12958, "fileid": 69619, "filename": "BAB V.pdf", "hash": "cf73d8f7c960430fd8b109f7110a5f4f", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 1, "docid": 12958, "main": "BAB V.pdf", "pos": 6, "eprintid": 5490 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/12959", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 7, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/69621", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-22 09:03:58", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 468286, "objectid": 12959, "fileid": 69621, "filename": "LAMPIRAN.pdf", "hash": "4e65b0d37a08b1f77814d7ebf1cdb19e", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 12959, "main": "LAMPIRAN.pdf", "pos": 7, "eprintid": 5490 } ], "thesis_name": "sarjana", "eprint_status": "archive", "institution": "Ekonomi", "full_text_status": "restricted", "eprintid": 5490 }