{ "dir": "disk0/00/00/55/16", "datestamp": "2026-07-28 01:18:44", "corp_creators": [ "Universitas Bojonegoro" ], "note": 22602011027, "date": "2026-06-30", "divisions": [ "ep" ], "rev_number": 19, "creators": [ { "name": { "lineage": null, "honourific": null, "given": "Dhani", "family": "Alfira Shah Rama Dhani" } } ], "thesis_type": "bachelor", "subjects": [ "CD" ], "status_changed": "2026-07-28 01:18:44", "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/eprint/5516", "department": "Ekonomi Pembangunan", "ispublished": "pub", "keywords": "Harga Komoditas Global, Crude Palm Oil (CPO), Batu Bara, Minyak Mentah, Cadangan Devisa, VECM.", "abstract": "Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh harga komoditas global, yaitu Crude Palm Oil (CPO), batu bara, dan minyak mentah, terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data sekunder berupa data time series periode 2010\u20132024 yang diperoleh dari World Bank, Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), dan Bank Indonesia. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) setelah melalui uji stasioneritas, penentuan lag optimal, dan uji kointegrasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek harga CPO, batu bara, dan minyak mentah tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia. Sementara itu, dalam jangka panjang harga CPO berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa, harga batu bara berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa, sedangkan harga minyak mentah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap cadangan devisa Indonesia. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa perubahan harga komoditas global tidak memberikan dampak langsung terhadap cadangan devisa, tetapi memerlukan waktu hingga tercapai keseimbangan jangka panjang. Oleh karena itu, pemerintah perlu meningkatkan nilai tambah komoditas ekspor, menjaga stabilitas sektor energi, serta memperkuat kebijakan perdagangan internasional untuk mendukung ketahanan cadangan devisa Indonesia", "lastmod": "2026-07-28 01:18:44", "title": "Analisis Pengaruh Harga Komoditas Global Terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indonesia: Pendekatan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)", "type": "thesis", "contributors": [ { "name": { "lineage": null, "honourific": null, "given": "Taufiqqurrachman", "family": "Fahrizal Taufiqqurrachman" } }, { "name": { "lineage": null, "honourific": null, "given": "Azhari", "family": "Azhari" } } ], "metadata_visibility": "show", "userid": 1273, "date_type": "published", "documents": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13086", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 1, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70087", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:12:53", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 617238, "objectid": 13086, "fileid": 70087, "filename": "ABSTRAK.pdf", "hash": "95247ca723b60d66a00bf09b5c40ef74", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 13086, "main": "ABSTRAK.pdf", "pos": 1, "eprintid": 5516 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13104", "security": "public", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 2, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70131", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:21:32", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 283960, "objectid": 13104, "fileid": 70131, "filename": "BAB I.pdf", "hash": "fafad59b0fa5c8090731ce4873ae81ae", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 1, "docid": 13104, "main": "BAB I.pdf", "pos": 2, "eprintid": 5516 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13105", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 3, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70133", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:21:47", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 338649, "objectid": 13105, "fileid": 70133, "filename": "BAB II.pdf", "hash": "433f4113c56249535f761c1922d8fa6c", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 13105, "main": "BAB II.pdf", "pos": 3, "eprintid": 5516 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13106", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 4, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70135", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:21:57", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 345848, "objectid": 13106, "fileid": 70135, "filename": "BAB III.pdf", "hash": "b49a8c9ed0fc264d6792c94c4278be7d", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 13106, "main": "BAB III.pdf", "pos": 4, "eprintid": 5516 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13107", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 5, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70137", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:22:08", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 575286, "objectid": 13107, "fileid": 70137, "filename": "BAB IV.pdf", "hash": "13f414c2b987f7587cc8d2284b64d23c", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 13107, "main": "BAB IV.pdf", "pos": 5, "eprintid": 5516 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13108", "security": "public", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 6, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70139", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:22:25", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 259424, "objectid": 13108, "fileid": 70139, "filename": "BAB V.pdf", "hash": "fad64d2b3b1c060abcd219d6be135d51", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 1, "docid": 13108, "main": "BAB V.pdf", "pos": 6, "eprintid": 5516 }, { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/document/13109", "security": "validuser", "format": "text", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "placement": 7, "files": [ { "uri": "https://repository.unigoro.ac.id/id/file/70141", "hash_type": "MD5", "mtime": "2026-07-23 03:22:53", "mime_type": "application/pdf", "filesize": 769773, "objectid": 13109, "fileid": 70141, "filename": "LAMPIRAN.pdf", "hash": "3f966ecfeaa932740b505e89d75eeb80", "datasetid": "document" } ], "language": "en", "rev_number": 2, "docid": 13109, "main": "LAMPIRAN.pdf", "pos": 7, "eprintid": 5516 } ], "thesis_name": "sarjana", "eprint_status": "archive", "institution": "Ekonomi", "full_text_status": "restricted", "eprintid": 5516 }